James Fallows: debunking Obama’s China ‘failure’.

Posted by stuart on Nov 23rd, 2009
2009
Nov 23

James Fallows: debunking Obamas China failure.

http://3.bp.blogspot.com/

James Fallows’ page at The Atlantic should be the first port of call for anyone interested in a balanced perspective of what’s up with China. Fallows  is one of the most well-connected, respected, fair-minded, and knowledgeable China commentators out there. Which is probably why a member of Obama’s Asia delegation contacted him to set the record straight on the spreading of a false perception of failure following the US president’s recent China visit.

As Fallows was already on the record as being displeased with the negatively skewed American press coverage of the Sino venture, he was the perfect recipient of the inside scoop. Some of the insights (see here, here, and here) are both revealing and fascinating, providing some real money quotes about the difficulties of negotiating the big issues with China.

Below are a few samples of the what was really happening on inside, both on the run-up to, and during,  the China visit :

Administration hopes for the trip

“In thinking about the trip, the things we were trying to accomplish were all basically long term things. We were not looking for ‘deliverables’ or one-day stories. You’ve now got eight or nine countries among the G20 that are Asia-Pacific countries. The historic shift of power and influence from West to East is reflected in that number.

“Obama is very focused on global issues, things like climate change, financial imbalances, non proliferation, energy issues. We saw all the countries on this trip as players on those global issues. Of course China is important in particular, but also Korea and Japan and the ASEAN countries. So we saw this as a way of developing relationships that would be helpful to us as we tackled these issues coming down the road.

DPRK and Iran

“In the joint statement, the Chinese did in fact commit to seeking resumption of Six Party Talks at an early date. They agreed to that principle, and they were pretty robust in their insistence that they care about the denuclearization of North Korea. In fact they more than anyone else have reasons to be troubled by the program. The missiles may not be aimed at China, but they are right next to China. So our perspectives are not identical, but on North Korea, we’re doing pretty well.

“Iran has been more difficult, and will probably become a more sensitive issue. On the one hand, they get it. But as a matter of principle they don’t like sanctions and are concerned about their energy supplies, and they always like to free-ride. If the Russians are on board they will be on board too. At the end of the day, I expect the China will be on board. There may be some foot-dragging about specifics of a resolution, depending on how draconian it is.

Economics

“Discussions with the Chinese just don’t offer dramatic breakthrough moments. It’s water on a stone. They don’t reveal their Eurekas to you. While you’re there you get fairly predictable responses. Next time you go back and get a little different treatment.”

Town hall meeting

“We negotiated endlessly against a very difficult Chinese government on the issue. Their intransigence tells me several things. It was the day before the meeting with Hu Jintao, and there were uneasy about what might be said in a live format. ["Surprise" = "unacceptable risk" in many official Chinese dealings.] This was also a townhall format of a type they had never had before. We wanted to have 1000 or 1500 people. They said No. Security problems, and so on. So, we got to 500. We insisted on live streaming. Endless fights on that. Then live TV. Endless fights. And questions from the internet. Huge fights over who would pose them and who would screen. There wasn’t a single aspect of the meeting that wasn’t hard fought.

“It was tortured enough that we thought about pulling the plug. At the end of the day we decided to go through. The point is that on the Chinese side, this showed more than the usual anxiety. I think there was a genuine anxiety about the possible… force of Barack Obama. I would say a word short of “subversive” or “destabilizing.” But something profoundly disturbing to their system of government and control. The anxiety was a tribute to the kind of inspirational force he has.”

This represents just a little of what is offered by The White House insider. Tomorrow, James Fallows promises a final installment. I thoroughly recommend tuning in.

http://jamesfallows.theatlantic.com/archives/2009/11/manufactured_failure_5_view_fr.php

8 Responses

  1. Hao Hao Report Says:

    Someone thinks this story is fantastic…

    This story was submitted to Hao Hao Report – a collection of China’s best stories and blog posts. If you like this story, be sure to go vote for it….

  2. Was Obama’s China visit a failure? (No.) » The Peking Duck Says:

    [...] to commenter Stuart, who sums up some of the best of Fallows’ observations on his own blog. The inside scoop of the hell the Obama team went through to get the townhall [...]

  3. James in China Says:

    Gosh, a White House insider covers for Obama and insists (jedi hand wave) it wasn’t a failure? I’ve dealt with enough Chinese government officials to recognize self-serving behavior when I see it.

  4. Neddy Says:

    Well, the final installment is out. No need for linking here, your readers can find it via links you already gave us.
    But what I really recommend is that everyone truly interested reads, in full, Howard French’s piece “Not For All the News in China”
    http://www.cjr.org/campaign_desk/not_for_all_the_news_in_china.php
    It is from this article where Fallows’ quote(s) of French come from. And it is a priceless stuff, and food for thought.

  5. stuart Says:

    Thanks for that link, Neddy. So Howard French is Fallows’ source? I’m just about to take a look.

  6. stuart Says:

    @ James

    Fallows was critical of the negative coverage of Obama’s trip before he began running the ‘insiders’ perspective. Further, the source isn’t trying to spin the trip as a success he’s just explaining the complexity of the issues involved and the longer term strategy in play, as well as the difficulties in agreeing the formats of events when negotiating with the Chinese. Plus other stuff.

    You should read it.

  7. Neddy Says:

    About that source thing: I meant Fallows refers to H. French in his series, briefly, and it is my impression he is referring to the article I linked.

    In the meantime, another op-ed appears in NYT, this one from the “sky is falling” camp. Or perhaps the author (Ying Chan, director of the Journalism and Media Studies Center at The University of Hong Kong) has some other reason to blow this particular trumpet:
    “Obama Loses a Round”
    http://www.nytimes.com/2009/11/25/opinion/25iht-edying.html?_r=1
    I had to laugh, his words brought to mind what Howard French wrote to the effect of “And what should have Obama done? A Kruschev?”. You see, I am ancient enough to remember that shoe tantrum!

  8. Seeing the light: China supports resolution on Iran | Foundinchina.com Says:

    [...] like Obama’s approach to US-China relations is yielding results after [...]

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